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Scheduled
Yankee Stadium
LAA
Los Angeles Angels
Jack Kochanowicz
@
NYY
New York Yankees
Luis Gil
2026-04-15 · 23:05 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 3 models agree (home)
run line
All 3 models agree (home)
over under
All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -23.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
"The Yankees' dominant team pitching (2.60 ERA, 1.08 WHIP) combined with Luis Gil on the mound against an Angels offense batting just .204 with a 32.2% strikeout rate is the decisive edge in this matchup."
run line
35%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -14.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
"The Yankees' dominant team pitching (2.60 ERA, 1.08 WHIP) combined with Luis Gil on the mound against an Angels offense batting just .204 with a 32.2% strikeout rate is the decisive edge in this matchup."
over under
34%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
"The Yankees' dominant team pitching (2.60 ERA, 1.08 WHIP) combined with Luis Gil on the mound against an Angels offense batting just .204 with a 32.2% strikeout rate is the decisive edge in this matchup."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
35%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -30.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
"NYY's exceptional pitching staff (2.6 ERA) creates a significant advantage against a struggling LAA lineup (.204 BA, .322 K-rate)."
run line
25%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -24.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
"NYY's exceptional pitching staff (2.6 ERA) creates a significant advantage against a struggling LAA lineup (.204 BA, .322 K-rate)."
over under
29%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
"NYY's exceptional pitching staff (2.6 ERA) creates a significant advantage against a struggling LAA lineup (.204 BA, .322 K-rate)."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
38%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
NYY
Edge: -27.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
run line
57%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
NYY -1.5
Edge: +8.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
over under
44%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +154 | -190 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 10.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -130 (-1.5) | +105 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +157 | -174 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 10.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -125 (-1.5) | +105 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +163 | -205 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 10.5 (O -120/U -105) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -118 (-1.5) | -106 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +157 | -178 | |
| BetUS | over under | 10.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -120 (-1.5) | +100 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +153 | -185 | |
| Bovada | over under | 10.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -125 (-1.5) | +105 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +158 | -190 | |
| Caesars | over under | 10.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -125 (-1.5) | +105 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +153 | -186 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 10.5 (O -118/U -102) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -126 (-1.5) | +104 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +154 | -184 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 10.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -125 (-1.5) | +104 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +150 | -180 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 10.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -125 (-1.5) | +105 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +157 | -174 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 10.5 (O -118/U 103) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -122 (-1.5) | +108 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +155 | -185 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 10.5 (O -118/U -103) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -122 (-1.5) | +100 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.