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Scheduled Yankee Stadium
KCR
Kansas City Royals
Cole Ragans
@
NYY
New York Yankees
Ryan Weathers
2026-04-19 · 17:35 UTC

Predictions

Cross-Model Agreement

moneyline All 3 models agree (home)
run line All 3 models agree (home)
over under All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet) LLM
moneyline 46% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Ragans' drastically elevated walk rate (5.56 BB/9 vs career 3.46) against a Yankees lineup with home run power (25 HR in 20 games) is the biggest risk factor for Kansas City."

run line 35% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Ragans' drastically elevated walk rate (5.56 BB/9 vs career 3.46) against a Yankees lineup with home run power (25 HR in 20 games) is the biggest risk factor for Kansas City."

over under 34% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Ragans' drastically elevated walk rate (5.56 BB/9 vs career 3.46) against a Yankees lineup with home run power (25 HR in 20 games) is the biggest risk factor for Kansas City."

Haiku Current Series Record LLM
moneyline 43% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"NYY's dominant home record and superior team ERA provide a clear pitching advantage over a struggling KCR offense that's performing poorly on the road."

run line 34% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"NYY's dominant home record and superior team ERA provide a clear pitching advantage over a struggling KCR offense that's performing poorly on the road."

over under 38% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"NYY's dominant home record and superior team ERA provide a clear pitching advantage over a struggling KCR offense that's performing poorly on the road."

ML Baseline ML
moneyline 52% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
NYY
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
run line 61% MED The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
NYY -1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
over under 51% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.0
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

Odds Comparison
Odds pending -- check back closer to game time.

Team Stats

Stats not yet available.