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Final 5-3
T-Mobile Park
NYY
New York Yankees
Cam Schlittler
5
@
SEA
Seattle Mariners
George Kirby
3
2026-04-01 · 20:10 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
1 of 2 agree (home)
run line
1 of 2 agree (away)
over under
All 2 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: +46.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"George Kirby's proven track record and Seattle's home offensive production give the Mariners a moderate edge, though Schlittler's small 2026 sample size makes NYY's true pitching quality difficult to assess."
run line
48%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -25.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"George Kirby's proven track record and Seattle's home offensive production give the Mariners a moderate edge, though Schlittler's small 2026 sample size makes NYY's true pitching quality difficult to assess."
over under
44%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"George Kirby's proven track record and Seattle's home offensive production give the Mariners a moderate edge, though Schlittler's small 2026 sample size makes NYY's true pitching quality difficult to assess."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
82%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
NYY
Edge: -17.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
87%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
SEA -1.5
Edge: +53.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
92%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -10000 | +2800 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 5.5 (O 135/U -175) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +180 (+4.5) | -235 (-4.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +103 | -113 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 7.0 (O 105/U -125) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -212 (-1.5) | +181 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +102 | -125 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 5.0 (O -157/U 108) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -124 (+4.0) | -112 (-4.0) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +102 | -112 | |
| BetUS | over under | 7.0 (O 105/U -125) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -210 (-1.5) | +180 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -103 | -117 | |
| Bovada | over under | 5.5 (O 110/U -145) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -105 (+4.0) | -125 (-4.0) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +100 | -120 | |
| Caesars | over under | 5.5 (O 125/U -160) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -250 (+3.5) | +195 (-3.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -102 | -118 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 5.5 (O 141/U -186) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +195 (+4.5) | -265 (-4.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -10000 | +1800 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 5.5 (O 118/U -158) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -275 (+3.5) | +198 (-3.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -6000 | +1900 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 5.5 (O 125/U -165) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +205 (+4.5) | -280 (-4.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +103 | -113 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 7.0 (O 107/U -123) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -211 (-1.5) | +183 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +100 | -116 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 5.5 (O -111/U -133) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -250 (+3.5) | +175 (-3.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.