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Final 2-7
Oracle Park
NYM
New York Mets
David Peterson
2
@
SFG
San Francisco Giants
Robbie Ray
7
2026-04-03 · 01:45 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
1 of 2 agree (away)
run line
All 2 models agree (away)
over under
All 2 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
40%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -15.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"San Francisco's historically poor home start (0-3) and weak offense (2.6 R/G) gives New York's slightly better lineup the edge in a low-scoring pitchers' duel."
run line
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: +0.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"San Francisco's historically poor home start (0-3) and weak offense (2.6 R/G) gives New York's slightly better lineup the edge in a low-scoring pitchers' duel."
over under
41%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.0
Edge: -10.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"San Francisco's historically poor home start (0-3) and weak offense (2.6 R/G) gives New York's slightly better lineup the edge in a low-scoring pitchers' duel."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
43%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
SFG
Edge: -5.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
44%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
NYM +1.5
Edge: +2.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
77%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.0
Edge: +25.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -130 | +110 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +135 (+1.5) | -160 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -130 | +118 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 7.0 (O -130/U 110) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +140 (+1.5) | -160 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -127 | +102 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.5 (O -118/U -106) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +133 (+1.5) | -167 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -121 | +110 | |
| BetUS | over under | 7.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +140 (+1.5) | -160 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -125 | +105 | |
| Bovada | over under | 7.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +140 (+1.5) | -165 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -130 | +110 | |
| Caesars | over under | 7.0 (O -130/U 110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +135 (+1.5) | -160 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -131 | +109 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 7.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +129 (+1.5) | -156 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -130 | +110 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.0 (O 100/U -122) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +130 (+1.5) | -156 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -125 | +105 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +135 (+1.5) | -165 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -130 | +118 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 7.0 (O -128/U 112) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +141 (+1.5) | -160 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -123 | +105 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -116/U -104) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +135 (+1.5) | -167 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.