Back to Schedule
Final 2-6
American Family Field
TBR
Tampa Bay Rays
Shane McClanahan
2
@
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
Brandon Woodruff
6
2026-03-31 · 23:40 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (home)
run line
All 2 models agree (home)
over under
All 2 models agree (over)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
62%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: +6.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Milwaukee's undefeated home record and explosive offense (.971 OPS, 9.67 R/G) backed by Brandon Woodruff's elite career profile give them a strong edge over a struggling Tampa Bay squad with a 6.84 team ERA."
run line
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: +15.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Milwaukee's undefeated home record and explosive offense (.971 OPS, 9.67 R/G) backed by Brandon Woodruff's elite career profile give them a strong edge over a struggling Tampa Bay squad with a 6.84 team ERA."
over under
58%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Milwaukee's undefeated home record and explosive offense (.971 OPS, 9.67 R/G) backed by Brandon Woodruff's elite career profile give them a strong edge over a struggling Tampa Bay squad with a 6.84 team ERA."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
66%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIL
Edge: +10.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
78%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIL -1.5
Edge: +41.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
49%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 17.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +105 | -125 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.5 (O 105/U -125) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -210 (-1.5) | +170 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +120 | -132 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 7.5 (O 103/U -123) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -203 (-1.5) | +176 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +110 | -137 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.5 (O 100/U -122) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -225 (-1.5) | +170 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +108 | -118 | |
| BetUS | over under | 7.5 (O 105/U -125) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -205 (-1.5) | +176 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +106 | -126 | |
| Bovada | over under | 7.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -200 (-1.5) | +170 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +115 | -135 | |
| Caesars | over under | 7.5 (O 105/U -125) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -210 (-1.5) | +175 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +119 | -143 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 7.5 (O 109/U -131) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +165 (+1.5) | -202 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +110 | -130 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -220 (-1.5) | +180 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +120 | -145 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -195 (-1.5) | +160 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +120 | -132 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 7.5 (O 106/U -121) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -202 (-1.5) | +177 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +107 | -127 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.5 (O 101/U -123) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -214 (-1.5) | +172 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.