Back to Schedule
Final 1-2
Globe Life Field
SEA
Seattle Mariners
Logan Gilbert
1
@
TEX
Texas Rangers
Jacob deGrom
2
2026-04-07 · 00:05 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (home)
run line
1 of 2 agree (away)
over under
All 2 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -10.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Seattle's elite pitching staff (2.52 ERA) versus Texas's superior offense (.705 OPS, 4.38 R/G) is the central matchup, with no pitcher data available to refine the projection further."
run line
44%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -23.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Seattle's elite pitching staff (2.52 ERA) versus Texas's superior offense (.705 OPS, 4.38 R/G) is the central matchup, with no pitcher data available to refine the projection further."
over under
34%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Seattle's elite pitching staff (2.52 ERA) versus Texas's superior offense (.705 OPS, 4.38 R/G) is the central matchup, with no pitcher data available to refine the projection further."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
46%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TEX
Edge: -6.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
37%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TEX -1.5
Edge: +1.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
53%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -102 | -118 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.0 (O -102/U -118) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +165 (+1.5) | -200 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -116 | +105 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.0 (O 105/U -125) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -208 (-1.5) | +179 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -103 | -121 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.5 (O -117/U -107) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +170 (+1.5) | -225 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +102 | -112 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -210 (-1.5) | +180 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -105 | -115 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -220 (-1.5) | +180 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -120 | +100 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.0 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +143 (+1.5) | -170 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -122 | +102 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 7.5 (O -113/U -106) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +141 (+1.5) | -171 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -116 | -102 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +152 (+1.5) | -184 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -105 | -115 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +160 (+1.5) | -195 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -116 | +105 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.0 (O 107/U -123) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -207 (-1.5) | +181 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -102 | -115 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -106/U -115) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +161 (+1.5) | -200 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.