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Final 1-3
Kauffman Stadium
MIN
Minnesota Twins
Simeon Woods Richardson
1
@
KCR
Kansas City Royals
Kris Bubic
3
2026-03-30 · 20:10 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (home)
run line
1 of 2 agree (away)
over under
All 2 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
58%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -36.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Kansas City's home field advantage combined with Minnesota's weak road performance (1-2) outweighs Minnesota's superior pitching metrics in early-season low-scoring matchup."
run line
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -11.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Kansas City's home field advantage combined with Minnesota's weak road performance (1-2) outweighs Minnesota's superior pitching metrics in early-season low-scoring matchup."
over under
65%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 9.5
Edge: +9.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Kansas City's home field advantage combined with Minnesota's weak road performance (1-2) outweighs Minnesota's superior pitching metrics in early-season low-scoring matchup."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
50%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
KCR
Edge: -44.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
54%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
KCR -1.5
Edge: +10.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
64%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 5.5
Edge: +8.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +700 | -1400 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 6.5 (O 110/U -145) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -190 (-2.5) | +145 (+2.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +140 | -155 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 10.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -141 (-1.5) | +121 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +750 | -2500 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 6.5 (O -118/U -120) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -141 (-2.5) | +104 (+2.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +142 | -160 | |
| BetUS | over under | 10.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -140 (-1.5) | +120 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +350 | -550 | |
| Bovada | over under | 5.5 (O 120/U -155) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -155 (-1.5) | +120 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +700 | -1300 | |
| Caesars | over under | 6.5 (O 105/U -135) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -170 (-2.5) | +135 (+2.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +660 | -1380 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 5.5 (O -138/U 106) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -177 (-2.5) | +135 (+2.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +800 | -1800 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 6.5 (O -108/U -122) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -172 (-2.5) | +128 (+2.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +660 | -1200 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 5.5 (O -130/U 100) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -215 (-2.5) | +160 (+2.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +140 | -155 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 10.0 (O -113/U -102) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -139 (-1.5) | +123 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +380 | -556 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 5.5 (O 100/U -143) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -154 (-1.5) | +110 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.