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Final 4-6
Daikin Park
BOS
Boston Red Sox
Garrett Crochet
4
@
HOU
Houston Astros
Mike Burrows
6
2026-04-01 · 18:10 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (away)
run line
All 2 models agree (away)
over under
All 2 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -7.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"The pitching matchup heavily favors Boston with Crochet's elite form versus Burrows' early-season struggles, but Houston's superior offense at home tilts the balance."
run line
55%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: +10.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"The pitching matchup heavily favors Boston with Crochet's elite form versus Burrows' early-season struggles, but Houston's superior offense at home tilts the balance."
over under
44%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"The pitching matchup heavily favors Boston with Crochet's elite form versus Burrows' early-season struggles, but Houston's superior offense at home tilts the balance."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
94%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
BOS
Edge: +34.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
80%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
BOS +1.5
Edge: +35.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
44%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 9.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -150 | +125 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +120 (+1.5) | -145 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -141 | +128 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 7.0 (O -112/U -108) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +122 (+1.5) | -142 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -148 | +118 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.0 (O -105/U -120) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +125 (+1.5) | -155 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -145 | +130 | |
| BetUS | over under | 7.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +120 (+1.5) | -140 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -150 | +126 | |
| Bovada | over under | 7.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +120 (+1.5) | -140 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -155 | +130 | |
| Caesars | over under | 7.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +118 (+1.5) | -140 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -150 | +124 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 7.0 (O -112/U -108) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +124 (+1.5) | -149 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -146 | +124 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +125 (+1.5) | -150 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -150 | +125 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +115 (+1.5) | -140 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -141 | +128 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 7.0 (O -109/U -105) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +124 (+1.5) | -140 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -149 | +127 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.0 (O -114/U -108) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +119 (+1.5) | -145 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.