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Final 5-3
Great American Ball Park
CHC
Chicago Cubs
Javier Assad
5
@
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
Nick Lodolo
3
2026-07-11 · 23:10 UTC
Predictions
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
55%
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Most calibrated picks fall in the 40-65% range — pair with edge over the market for value.
Read more in the FAQ →
CHC
Edge: +3.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Read more in the FAQ →
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
Read more in the FAQ →
WON
run line
41%
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Most calibrated picks fall in the 40-65% range — pair with edge over the market for value.
Read more in the FAQ →
CIN -1.5
Edge: -23.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Read more in the FAQ →
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
Read more in the FAQ →
LOST
over under
54%
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Most calibrated picks fall in the 40-65% range — pair with edge over the market for value.
Read more in the FAQ →
Over 9.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
Read more in the FAQ →
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -135 | +110 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 9.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +125 (+1.5) | -150 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -125 | +113 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 9.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -195 (-1.5) | +170 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -117 | -107 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 10.0 (O -106/U -117) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +140 (+1.5) | -175 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +100 | -110 | |
| BetUS | over under | 9.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -195 (-1.5) | +168 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -128 | +107 | |
| Bovada | over under | 9.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +130 (+1.5) | -150 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -130 | +110 | |
| Caesars | over under | 9.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +122 (+1.5) | -145 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -131 | +109 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 9.5 (O -103/U -117) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +123 (+1.5) | -149 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -126 | +108 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 9.0 (O -118/U -104) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +126 (+1.5) | -152 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -105 | -115 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 9.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +150 (+1.5) | -180 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -125 | +113 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 9.5 (O -107/U -107) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -195 (-1.5) | +171 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -128 | +109 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 9.5 (O -102/U -119) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +127 (+1.5) | -150 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.